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  • Writer's pictureIsaac Cui

There’s a fresco I used to love: Raphael’s The School of Athens. I’m not sure exactly what drew me to it. Maybe it was the diverse historical references, depicting some of the great thinkers of the Classical world. Maybe it was just the sheer skill of the piece — how it manages to be so detailed and look so accurate despite its enormity. (It is, as I understand it, literally the wall of a palatial room in the Vatican.)


At the center of the piece are Plato and Aristotle. They are depicted to reflect two different ways of approaching philosophy. To the left, Plato’s hand gestures to the sky, inviting us to think in the realm of theory and forms. To the right, Aristotle’s palm faces the ground, suggesting that we focus on the lived reality in front of us.


Plato (L) and Aristotle (R)

I want to tell two stories with this post in an analogous way. One is theoretical and imagined — a model for a well-functioning government. One is empirical and real — an assessment of the failures of actual government.


I. Tiebout and Public Choice


In 1956, the economist Charles Tiebout published a pioneering paper called “A Pure Theory of Local Expenditures.” In it, Tiebout tries to answer a single question: how should governments provide “public goods” whose value accrues to the public generally and thus cannot be charged for in the way that you would a private good?


To understand why this paper has been important, notice three aspects of Tiebout’s question.


First, it has many applications. Within “public goods” are things like clean air, transportation infrastructure, public schools, well-maintained parks, and so on. With such goods, everyone benefits from having access to them, and, for the most part, there are few direct trade offs (e.g., that I use a road usually won’t directly prevent you from also using the road). But with public goods, there are “free-riding” problems: everyone wants access but no one wants to pay for them. And because everyone must have equal access to these goods, everyone has an incentive to minimize their own payments.


Second, note the framework for the question. The explicit contrast is between public and private goods, between government and markets. In a market, consumers meet with suppliers to exchange money for goods. Exchanges must be mutually beneficial, and, over many transactions, prices reach an equilibrium that reflects the “true” worth of the good. Tiebout’s concern with public goods is that there’s no obvious mechanism for revealing how much one truly values a public good. You could ask someone (“how much would you pay to send your kid to a school that’s ten percent better?”), but their answer is a stated, not a revealed, preference. Because of that, you can’t necessarily trust their answer. They have incentives to downplay how much they’d be willing to pay; in Tiebout’s words, “the ‘rational’ consumer will understate his preferences and hope to enjoy the goods while avoiding the tax.” Tiebout’s paper is an early example of what we now call public choice theory, which applies economic insights and theories (and assumptions!) to political science questions.


One last reason why this paper is important: it blurs normative and positive perspectives. Tiebout’s own writing is simply theoretical; he identifies a problem and creates a model (as I’ll explain) that can solve the problem. Tiebout doesn’t necessarily say we should organize our politics according to his model; rather, he says he provides only a “conceptual solution” to the problem of determining proper pricing for public goods. That being said, Tiebout’s theory would shape many normative approaches toward federalism — legal and political questions about how to allocate power between levels of government. (As a note, when we talk about federalism, we typically refer to differences between states and the federal government. Here I’ll be treating federalism in a policy, rather than legal, context. Therefore, when I discuss federalism, I mean federalism, as Heather Gerken puts it, “all the way down” — all sorts of decentralization, from the states to cities to school boards and juries, should be understood as “federalism.”)


So what was Tiebout’s model? Simply put, Tiebout says local governments should offer a wide mix of public services and taxation systems. People then could move between localities based on what suited them: if they want nicer schools but higher taxes, then they should move to that city; but if they want worse schools, and lower property taxes, then choose that other city, and so on. People sort themselves based on their preferences. Just like you compare different phones, making complex decisions about how much you’re willing to pay versus what kinds of services you want in return, Tiebout says you, as a “consumer-voter,” choose between different municipalities based on legal regimes and public services. Tiebout’s insight is that movement — “voting with your feet” — can reveal people’s preferences just like buying goods on a market reveals your preference. And that mechanism of voting with your feet should lead people to choose what’s best for them, thus leading to what economists call “allocative efficiency,” where resources are distributed in a way that matches consumer preferences.


There are, of course, limits to Tiebout’s ideal. It is, in his words, an “extreme model.” For starters, you can only get true Tieboutian sorting if consumer-voters are fully mobile, fully comprehend different municipalities’ “packages” and able to compare them, have access to a large number of choices of municipalities to live, and are capable of finding employment wherever they want. Additionally, Tiebout’s model requires that municipalities don’t exhibit “externalities” — basically, that more people living in one municipality won’t have downstream effects on the residents of another municipality; that there is an optimal size for each municipality; and that when the municipality’s size is non-optimal, it will seek to attract or push out additional residents.


We know at least some of these assumptions are dubious. People aren’t fully mobile. They don’t typically make their decisions about where to live only based on the relationship between local taxes and public services; employment is often a constraint, such that the number of places they’re meaningfully considering is limited. And municipalities do exhibit externalities: just think of suburbanization in LA leading to incredible amounts of air pollution that hurt the entire San Fernando Valley in LA, even if the people who live in the urban city don’t drive cars as much.


These limits suggest that reality won’t achieve allocative efficiency like the extreme model would. That fact doesn’t negate the normative attractiveness of Tiebout’s model, though. We might think Tiebout’s ideal is something we ought to strive to achieve, for example, even if we know it’s impossible to fully create.


There are three aspects of Tiebout’s model that, I think, might seem appealing in particular. First, it’s grounded in consumer choice. Federalism allows for different municipalities making their own decisions about what kinds of services to provide and how to fund them. In short, federalism allows for diversity. And it provides you, the consumer-voter, with the opportunity to make that choice — to choose your own destiny.


Second, Tiebout’s model creates a kind of “market” for regulation. After all, if the point is to allow people to move around and choose to live in different places based on their desires, then it’s likely that some places will be more or less desirable. Places that “fall behind” in the race — places where people aren’t moving because their mix of public services and taxes are undesirable — will feel a need to compete for more consumer-voters. Competition pushes localities to give a better deal: find a way to be innovative, with more efficient schools or parks for less. It’s free market competition, regulation style.


Third, and more abstractly, Tiebout’s model gives us a way of thinking about the proper allocation of power among local and regional (or national) levels. Tiebout would say that there are some things you want supra-local action for, especially to deal with externality problems. You might want to regulate transportation at a regional level in the San Fernando Valley because you know air pollution affects everyone, for example. You could also think of policies that enable Tieboutian sorting as for the national level; the ultimate Tieboutian policy, I think, would be the universal basic income. But for everything else, take the European Union’s “subsidiarity” approach — devolve policymaking authority down to the most local level, and let communities decide for themselves how they want to organize collective life. In academic terms, we’d call Tiebout’s model one of polycentrism, where there are multiple centers of power.


From a theoretical perspective, Tiebout’s model has a decent amount going for it. It’s limited even as a matter of theory, though, in the sense that there’s no politics involved. Municipalities, for the most part, are to offer static packages of services and taxes, with rational adjustments in response to “price signals” of people moving in or out of the community. But in a democratic system, we also want local influence to be able to shape those packages. Tiebout points to entry and exit as methods for achieving your individual preferences — if you don’t like something, just leave and find another place. But, to take from a 2012 lecture by Heather Gerken, we ought to also think about voice and (dis)loyalty as mechanisms for empowering people.


Take those in turn. Voice has to do with expression: to advocate for change or to vote. Loyalty, on the other hand, is trickier. Here, Gerken draws upon the Tieboutian insight about polycentrism and pushes it further. In polycentric regulatory regimes, policies are made and implemented at different levels of government. A classic example: Medicaid. It’s a national healthcare insurance system mandated and largely paid for by the federal government. But it’s implemented, subject to certain standards, by state governments. And for Gerken, that implementation role offers an opportunity to exercise meaningful power. It’s the power of the servant — the power deriving from, in the language of economics, information symmetries between a principal (the federal government) and the agent (the implementer at the state level). A jury can nullify a law, refusing to apply it to a criminal defendant that the jurors believe is guilty. A street-level bureaucrat can refuse to follow the rules, or bend them, if they feel compelled to. Loyalty offers power from being inside a polycentric regime, whereas exit and voice are about power from being outside.


Let’s take a step back and think about where we are. Tiebout gave us a model for thinking about achieving allocative efficiency of public goods, where there are difficulties with properly assessing the value of those goods. He emphasized free movement of people to reveal their preferences, and his model suggests designing polycentric regimes, where you divide the locus of policymaking between a larger (national or state) government and smaller municipalities. We know that Tiebout’s model is inaccurate, in that true Tieboutian sorting won’t replicate market dynamics perfectly, but we took away some normative ideals from the model: decentralize governance, enable the proliferation of small municipalities, and try to ease the burdens of movement.


We recognized, though, that Tiebout’s model is meant to achieve a specific goal (allocative efficiency in public goods). But a proper democratic system should go beyond narrow efficiency goals. Gerken starts from a different question: “What does a democracy owe its minorities?” She suggests that exit is one way to exercise power, but that voice and loyalty are other means for minorities to wield power in a liberal (in the sense of rights-protecting), federalist society. Normatively, if we think protecting minorities is important (I’m going to flag this statement here and return to it in Part III!), then we should also think about layering our systems of government on top of each other, so that localities and states implement federal mandates, and about ensuring vigorous competition within the political sphere, an argument famously pioneered by election law scholars Samuel Issacharroff and Richard Pildes’s “Politics as Markets.”


II. Michael Brown and Ferguson


On August 9, 2014, an eighteen-year-old Black man, Michael Brown, was killed by a police officer in Ferguson, Missouri. I recently read historian Colin Gordon’s account of the killing in his 2019 book, Citizen Brown: Race, Democracy, and Inequality in the St. Louis Suburbs, and I thought it would be helpful to juxtapose with Tiebout’s model for two reasons. First, Gordon’s account is structural. It doesn’t take Brown’s death as an isolated incident. Rather, Brown’s death, in Gordon’s words, was “as unsurprising as it was tragic.” It was the necessary and inevitable consequence of certain structural designs. Second, those designs, I think, can help us clarify the consequences of Tiebout’s model.


Gordon takes note of three broad and interlocking dynamics that made, in his argument, police violence inevitable: fragmentation, segregation, and local finances.


On fragmentation, Gordon notes the intense proliferation of incorporated municipalities in the area. In 2010, the St. Louis region was home to over two hundred independent municipalities situated within eighteen counties across two states. Why? Home rule was a powerful tool for property owners. Gordon notes that “sprawl” was largely uncontrolled in the area, such that private development, in the post-World War II era, continues to expand outward. Suburban development would then be followed by municipal incorporation, which in turn could be used for exclusionary zoning and school-boundary gerrymandering as ways to keep property values high by preventing certain kinds of development or people from entering the location.


Second, on patterns of segregation. It’s well-known that in many American metropolitan areas, the post-war period saw a huge amount of “white flight,” where White people left inner cities for the suburbs, leaving behind almost exclusively communities of color in inner cities. Ferguson was an example of this; an inner suburb of St. Louis, the city was 99% White in 1970, and the inhabitants wanted to keep it that way. In the 1960s, there was literally a steel barrier between Ferguson and the neighboring Black city of Kinloch; in 1975, when a federal judge required the merging of school districts as part of a desegregation order, a Ferguson city council member suggested building a wall between the cities.


But things began to change in the 1970s. In part, with civil rights laws banning racial discrimination, housing markets began to open up to Black families, and Ferguson was a site for Black families leaving the city or nearby suburbs because housing in Ferguson was cheaper (and older) than in surrounding neighborhoods. There’s (perhaps to be expected) a more insidious side to this story, too. St. Louis’s efforts at urban renewal amounted to the demolition of many Black neighborhoods, with the effect largely of pushing people into the suburbs. The result: Ferguson witnessed a dramatic transition from being 99% White in 1970 to over 50% Black by 2000, and, today, nearly 70% Black. That fact, alone, suggests the potential for poor relations between the community and police. Gordon writes: “[R]ace relations are always most fragile on the frontier of racial transition. And when that frontier sits in a struggling inner suburb—its citizens mostly black, its police almost exclusively white—the fuse is always lit.”


Gordon adds a third factor to help explain Brown’s killing: municipal finance. When jurisdictions are intensely fragmented, the obvious danger is that some places will hoard wealth: draw your municipal district so that all the expensive properties are within your city and keep out the cheaper properties. This has a feedback effect. A wealthy municipality can levy property taxes to fund public goods, like schools, that in turn maintain high property values. In a suburb like Ferguson, with aging infrastructure and cheaper housing, property taxes aren’t enough. Thus, while property taxes accounted for half of local revenue in some affluent cities in the St. Louis area, in Ferguson, property taxes were consistently only around ten percent of its revenue.


There are three especially pernicious effects of this setup. First, because of gerrymandered municipal lines that separate expensive and poor properties, cities like Ferguson are forced to rely on much more regressive forms of taxation. What’s the biggest source of Ferguson’s revenue? Sales tax — effectively taking money from impoverished people who are already struggling. (One of my Pomona professors, tweeting in a different context, noted how expensive it is to be poor, and these kinds of tax systems are just one small component.)


Second, struggling cities in the area will try very hard to find new companies to locate in the area and broaden the tax base. But with so many cities in the area, there’s intense competition to attract those companies. The result is races to the bottom where places like Ferguson, in order to attract those companies, will cut property taxes even further or offer subsidies, compounding their financial troubles by forcing greater reliance on more regressive forms of taxation. The result of the kind of regulatory competition that Tiebout may have hoped for, in Gordon’s words, is “effectively playing musical chairs with scarce retail investment sales-tax revenues” as each municipality tries to undercut the others by offering greater tax incentives. From a distributive perspective, the system takes money from impoverished citizens to subsidize multinational corporations and property owners.


Third, if you’re a municipality in this situation, you’re desperately searching for new forms of revenue. And in Ferguson, that took the form of what Gordon calls “predatory policing,” where “local authorities in Ferguson resorted to fiscal fracking of the lowest economic strata of their citizenry.”


How do you do it? Easy. Criminalize trivial behavior (you can violate the law for “manner of walking along roadway,” for which DOJ found 95% of charges were made against Black people, even when roads lack a sidewalk!), tell police officers to enforce those trivial laws, and funnel those infringements through municipal court to collect fines. DOJ’s report notes, “The importance of focusing on revenue generation is communicated to [Ferguson Police Department officers]. Ferguson police officers from all ranks told us that revenue generation is stressed heavily within the police department, and that the message comes from City leadership.”


In other words, political and economic circumstances created structural incentives for increased contact between police and citizens — contact that, by its very nature, was a kind of harassment that would exacerbate tensions between community members and police. It was deeply racialized harassment, as borne out by damning statistics gathered by DOJ. And it was ubiquitous. One ghoulish measurement Gordon gives: in 2013, the Ferguson Municipal Court processed nearly 25,000 warrants and over 12,000 court cases — around three warrants and 1.5 cases for each household in Ferguson. In such circumstances, is it surprising that Ferguson would be like a tinderbox?


III. Tiebout’s Nightmare


Remember the kinds of things we were celebrating in Tiebout-/Gerken-world: freedom of choice, entry and exit, the power of local politics, resistance within systems of polycentrism, proliferation of options, and so on. What happened in Ferguson? We saw the proliferation of cities as a key mechanism by which communities could segregate themselves, thus creating incentives leading to regressive taxing and predatory policing. We saw tension in two of Tiebout’s requirements: the proliferation of municipal boundaries actually was used to make entry and exit harder, at least for Black Americans. “Exit,” we saw, is perhaps more an option for corporations deciding where to locate than for citizens trying to live a good life.


In a sense, we also saw Tiebout’s success: recall that his model assumed that cities would operate largely in response to regulatory signals based around economic demands. We saw how Ferguson, located in a dense space of different municipalities, had to engage in a race to the bottom that led it to subsidize massive corporations and property owners to the detriment of impoverished consumers. Ferguson was, just as Tiebout hoped, responding to those regulatory signals. Notably missing, as a corollary, was politics in any representative sense. How could it be, one might ask, that a city that is seventy percent Black has such regressive, anti-Black policies? What happened to “voice” and “loyalty”? What happened, to return to Gerken’s question, in terms of what a democracy owes its minorities?


An obvious answer is that we know local politics aren’t representative, in that turnout is consistently skewed toward White and more affluent interests. We also know that public sector unions are highly influential in local politics, which perhaps helps contextualize why, in Ferguson, the city was simultaneously complaining about having lost substantial tax revenue post-financial crisis and yet was building a new fire station, renovating its police station, giving large raises to all municipal employees, and purchasing new police cars. Maybe Ferguson represents the triumph of “voice” and “loyalty,” not the absence. Maybe “voice” and “loyalty” are simply highly skewed in Ferguson, which is why local community interests seem so poorly served by a system of regulatory competition and home rule.


Three general takeaways, I think, of this convoluted line of thinking.


First, and most obviously, I think I ought to be more careful when thinking about the relationship between normative and empirical arguments. Since my first summer in college, I’ve been relatively “pro-federalism,” in the sense that I bought many of Gerken’s arguments about the value of decentralization and of facilitating intergovernmental conflict. I still do hold many of those values: the way that federalism accommodates diversity, the way it enables people to “dissent by deciding,” and the way it elongates conflict are all, I think, valuable. But I notice in myself a tendency, especially when thinking of constitutional and structural questions, to find ambivalence: federalism can enable both progressive opportunities (say, San Francisco issuing same-sex marriage licenses and forcing the issue onto the national stage) and regressive opportunities (see, e.g., segregation). As a matter of law, I think that tends to be true. But as a matter of reality, I think there are important empirical questions about when each of these is likely — and when a facially neutral structure can slant in favor of a certain side because of environmental characteristics, like distortions to representation.


I’ve noted before that I think representation is the crucial question underlying most political issues. Here, representation is important in two distinct ways. As a matter of practice, we need to think about how federalism leads to different kinds of representation, and whether that’s a good thing. Federalism certainly enables minorities that are locally influential to gain power. In a country where voting patterns often differ based on race, it’s important that racial minorities have opportunities to gain political power — but if everything were a national referendum, those minorities would be guaranteed to lose on any issue that splits people by race. But the scope of “minorities” can mean a lot of different things beyond racial minorities: it can also mean propertied interests or other local interest groups (like public-sector unions). What’s the right “image” to have in our head when we think “minorities”? That’s fundamentally a question of representation, and it’s not an easy one to answer.


Similarly, as a matter of theory, we ought to think about how much we think Tieboutian sorting is really descriptively accurate versus how much Ferguson seems representative of how most governance in polycentric regimes operates. We know for sure that there are examples of Tieboutian sorting: just think about how elderly folks move to Florida because of the tax system, or how all companies are incorporated in Delaware because of their corporate governance laws. Which example is more representative for thinking about how regulatory competition actually happens — Delaware’s corporate-governance laws or St. Louis’s tax and racial politics?


Second, Tiebout’s model, and I think public choice theories in general, focuses a lot on economic incentives. It designs institutional structures based on an understanding of how rational actors will respond. I think it’s worth noting, though, that institutions structure not just the decisions we make but how we approach decision making more generally. Tiebout emphasizes entry and exit. Gerken helps us understand that exit trades off with other ways of exercising power. If you pick up your bags and leave, you’re much less willing to engage in community organizing, to exercise voice. If you exit by quitting your job as a political insider, you’re no longer able to exercise the power of loyalty. Similarly, the more embedded you feel within a community and the more you see your fate as tied to that community’s success, the more likely you are to seek to influence it rather than to exit.


We can push this insight further. In seeking allocative efficiency, Tiebout emphasizes that we need many choices of municipalities: we need highly fragmented cities so that each can offer us a different mix of public services and taxes. But fragmentation narrows the scope of one’s imagined community; as Michael Howell-Moroney writes, reflecting on Tiebout’s essay in 2008, fragmentation “has a tendency to bracket the individual resident’s sense of responsibility, weakening the sense that problems such as concentrated poverty are a concern for someone outside the place in which they occur.” Fragmentation perpetuates fragmentation: once you’ve hoarded the public goods and high property values, you’re going to protect it. Institutional design degrades our moral responsibilities. The community across the road might be physically close, but if that road is the municipal boundary, then it’s their problems versus ours. The lines between municipalities, Howell-Moroney writes, “tend to create a myopic patchwork of interests in which communities seek their own self-interest in isolation, sometimes to the detriment of other communities.”


Third, and finally, I want to point out that both Gerken’s and Tiebout’s models depend on some idea about the “normal” conditions of politics in a properly functioning democratic, federal system. For Tiebout, it’s about access to transparent information, meaningful ability to exit, and cost internalization (i.e., that externalities, like air pollution, are properly priced by the local government). For Gerken, it’s about meaningful representation in exercising voice and loyalty. She doesn’t say this, but I think her model requires proper representative institutions — parties that seek your vote, voting systems that enable you to exercise your right to vote, and so on — as well as meaningfully representative bureaucracies that can exercise loyalty in a responsive way to the public’s interest.


Neither of these arguments should be surprising. Both Tiebout and Gerken seek to define politics in terms of structures, not an ideal of public good. It’s about setting up a machine that will run itself properly. For Tiebout, that machine is like a market, and so you need to design your polycentric system to mirror how a market sends price signals and so on. For Gerken, it’s about making sure the machine properly enables political conflict.


I want to take a quick detour into election law, because that’s Gerken’s intellectual heritage — and I suspect it influences her arguments even though the citations in her paper don’t make that apparent. In 2006, Gerken wrote an essay describing the core question dividing election law scholars at the time: “do racial and ethnic minorities finally wield enough power in the political process to protect themselves?” Have we, in other words, “reached the stage of ‘normal politics’”? This question echoes that famous Issacharoff and Pildes paper I mentioned earlier (“Politics as Markets”), where they say the core issue for courts is to prevent “partisan lockups” of the political system. Just like competition law ought to block monopolists from securing their monopoly power, the law of democracy ought to block parties from unfairly protecting themselves from political challengers.


Tiebout’s and Gerken’s models may work well under conditions of normal economics and normal politics. But are we there yet? And if we aren’t, should our goal be to approximate those models with our institutions and hope that everything else will work, or should we abandon them for different understandings of good governance?


This post is already too long, so I won’t try to answer those questions in any justified way. But my personal gut is that Tieboutian sorting is descriptively accurate primarily for very narrow classes of entities: particularly mobile companies (e.g., in industries that don’t require much human capital) and particularly uprooted people (e.g., tech workers who have been fleeing California).


For the most part, I think our politics ought to lean in favor of voice and loyalty rather than exit as a strategy for achieving allocative efficiency. I think a politics of full sorting is a rather anti-democratic strategy because it holds no normative commitment to building communities that last. At a certain point, the logical extremity of the Tiebout model, as he writes, is to “reduce the solution of the problem of allocating public goods to the trite one of making each person his own municipal government.” That’s no way to run a society. Also, even if it were, I think most people can’t live their lives uprooted. They feel a need to find lasting connections. Tiebout recognized that barriers to exiting — those non-tax/public-goods reasons for staying — impede the ability of voting by your feet to enable allocative efficiency. We need other tools for achieving allocative efficiency, and those reside, I think, primarily in terms of voice.


The next question, then, is whether we’ve achieved “normal politics” — whether people can exercise their voice (or loyalty) effectively. I think the answer is “yes” and “no.” On the “yes” side, it’s clear that our representative institutions today are better than they were in the 1960s, when Southern Democrats had a monopoly on politics through Jim Crow laws and racial terrorism. And I also think it’s true that our national level institutions have gotten much closer to “normal politics.” It’s certainly troubling that the Republican Party has been increasingly relying on vote suppression to win elections. But what’s different today is that much voting rights litigation and advocacy is now conducted by the Democratic Party. Voting rights obviously are still in danger, and we should have agreement between the parties about protecting them vigorously. But the core Issacharrof and Pildes insight is that oligopoly collusion is very different than oligopoly competition. Our electoral system structurally leads to two parties, and so the real risk with politics is if both parties agree to exclude people — which is exactly what happened for so long with Black Americans after Reconstruction ended. In contrast, two-party politics, when properly functioning, pits two sides against each other. And that’s happening today on a variety of issues that does enable racial minorities to win, at least sometimes. (Think about how the massive stimulus will cut child poverty among Black Americans by 52% and Native Americans by 61%, compared to only 39% of White Americans.)


None of that is to say that our political institutions work well, even if our party system might resemble some aspects of “normal” politics. Certainly our representative institutions distort political conflict: the Senate has massive malapportionment problems that get transferred into the presidential election system; the House has (comparatively smaller) problems of malapportionment but is also riddled by gerrymandering. But I think our national institutions are much closer to “normal politics” than lower levels of government, which are much more distortionary. There are institutional fixes that I suspect would help (I haven’t fully thought through a lot of these though!): elimination of non-partisan elections at most state levels; non-partisan redistricting; elimination of off-cycle elections; and revitalization of the Voting Rights Act’s preclearance provision. There are also non-institutional but important factors, such as the vibrancy of local newspapers, the state of civic education, and levels of local associational life, that are necessary to buttress a vibrant local democracy. We haven’t achieved “normal” politics across the country, especially when it comes to local and state government. Until we have, I think it’s reasonable to be skeptical of ideological pro-federalism claims unmoored by specific contexts.


* * * * *

Rose: Last weekend, I had calls with some of my old high school friends. It was really nice to see them and hear how they’re doing!


Bud: Classes are going to end in a few weeks, which will give me much more time to focus on my dissertation, which is exciting.


Thorn: I spent a bunch of time last week on a piece of writing, and I got feedback that essentially required me to redo the piece completely. It felt really dispiriting, especially because I had spent something like four hours just on cutting the piece to get to a word limit, and now I have to basically start over after someone reorganized the piece, rewrote almost every sentence, and cut out a substantial part of the essay that ruins its logical flow.


Gratitude: I learned about an MIT-run election science working group, where election scholars get together and talk about papers/stuff they’re working on. I got a recommendation to look into the group to help with dissertation work, and the first meeting I’ve been able to make was this last week. It was pretty cool! It was intimidating to be around lots of very smart political scientists, but I’m grateful that I could be a fly on the (Zoom) wall.


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  • Writer's pictureIsaac Cui

You probably know at this point in the blog that I’m a big fan of Taylor Swift. This blog post — the first real “travel blog”-style post — is about touring London based on one of her songs, “London Boy.” If you haven’t heard the song, do give it a go. I won’t pretend it’s my favorite Taylor Swift song (there are many, many such obviously superior songs), but it’s a fun song.


Why tour London based on an American singer’s escapades? Reason the first: see above. Reason the second: there’s only so much novelty in walking around the same few square kilometers after half a year mostly in lockdown. Even though I had already been to most of the places on the list, making a project out of touring the city injected some jazz into life. Reason the third: I’ve come to the conclusion that, alas, most of my readers are not particularly interested in my musings about politics or social science. I started this blog to record my thoughts, and so I imagine I’ll return to my frankly more boring writing in subsequent weeks. (Sorry.) But for this post, I thought I’d try something more fun.


Before getting into the thick of it, I should say two things about our “replication” effort. First, we did, unfortunately, little to none of the activities Taylor Swift describes. We could not be “f[ound] in the pub, . . . watching rugby with his school friends.” There was no “rainy cab ride” (many “gray sk[ies]” though), nor “me[eting] all of his best mates.” It’s a London Boy Tour, COVID style. Second, I imagine this song is about her English boyfriend and their various dates. There’s no parallel London Girl in this tour, although I was accompanied by friends the entire time — for most places, my cycling buddy, but for Shoreditch, a Marshall friend. At each place, we recorded a voice memo about what was happening and what it was like. For each location, I quote from those recordings, presented as dialogue in italics (I is for me, G is for my cycling buddy, and E is for my Marshall friend).


* * * * *


In the song, Taylor Swift sings about nine places. It’s a scattering of places: from the very touristy Soho, West End, and Hampstead Heath (but not “Louis V up on Bond Street,” the luxury fashion outlet on a street of — you guessed it — luxury stores), to more hip places: Shoreditch, Hackney, or Brixton. I’ve mapped them out below.



"London Boy" Destinations

London is a rather big city. As it turns out, the term “urban sprawl” was first coined to describe London, because the city (thought not administratively but rather in contiguous “urban-ness”) extends quite far. London is divided into thirty-two boroughs as well as the City of London (the financial center, dating to the Roman settlement at Londinium). The tour took us throughout Inner London: the boroughs of Hackney, Islington (where I live), Westminster, Camden, as well as briefly to the south of the Thames in Lambeth. I looked at the three extremities of the tour (Hackney, Highgate, and Brixton), and it would be around 20 miles round trip — doable on a bike, but perhaps difficult to fit in and make interesting. Instead, we took Taylor Swift’s own advice that “you’d never make it” in one day, and we split it up based on when we had time. Alas, it took us three weeks.



Distances to the Extremities


* * * * *

Day 1: Thursday, February 19, 2021


We set off that morning to get the north and west destinations — Highgate along with Hampstead Heath, and then to make our way down to Camden Market and the touristy places (Soho, the West End, and the Louis Vuitton on Bond Street). Unfortunately, we ended up cut short for time and only did Highgate and Hampstead Heath.





The day was somewhat windy, so we decided against cycling. As a side effect, that day was the first time I’ve ridden in British public transit! We rode, of course, a double decker bus. And we sat, of course, at the front of the second floor. It was a lovely experience. I also captured some shots of cool buildings on the way.





Stick with me, I’m your queen / Like a Tennessee Stella McCartney on the Heath


You probably know from this blog that one of the loveliest aspects of the city is the number of parks embedded in this deeply urban place. Hampstead Heath (sometimes just called “the Heath,” per Wikipedia) is one of those beautiful parks, and it’s quite hilly, which makes it a popular place for panoramic shots of London. (You can basically look directly south and get a nice shot of Westminster, as well as southeast to see St. Paul’s, the City, and Canary Wharf.)


I: It’s 11:52 in the morning . . . what is today? It’s the nineteenth.

G: Of February.

I: We’re at the top of Hampstead Heath.

G: Slightly overcast, as expected.

I: Slightly? Very overcast! There’s literally no sun.

G: But quite a clear view across London, no smog.

I: Is there usually smog? I don’t think I’ve ever seen smog.

G: Well, it could be smoggier, or foggier. Sometimes you can’t see anything.


The top of the Heath was quite busy; lots of folks were milling around. (Lockdown, it turns out, is not very successful anymore — at least as measured by people going to parks.) The view was decent — clear sight, but overcast skies. It had been raining, either earlier that day or in the previous days, so the grass was quite muddy. But it was quite pleasant.




I: What else [do we see]? Crying baby. Oh, it’s the crying baby with the same boots, but the boots are off now.

G: Boots are off, still crying though, unfortunately.

I: Rest in peace. It’s not that cold, though.

G: No, it’s quite nice.

I: Compared to Texas, certainly.

G: We still have running water in London; things are not as bad as they could be.


In front of us was a view of the London skyline — the iconic picture everyone has to take when they’re up at Hampstead Heath. (Indeed, I took a similar picture last time I was at the spot.) Behind us was Highgate, which has had the only “gated communities,” with all connotations implied, I’ve seen in London.


I: Okay. Well if we turn backwards, we can see a hill. Do you know what hill that is?

G: Uh, I would say that’s Highgate Hill.

I: Highgate Hill? Okay. Oh, so the mansions are there then. Oh, those are the mansions.

G: Yes, those are some very nice little old houses — they look like Tudor houses from here. I love Tudor houses.

I: Is it because of Hilary Mantel?

G: No! It’s ’cause I think they’re cool. They’re very historical.


Alas, I didn’t take a picture of the Highgate mansions. But this is what Google gives me as an example — and it lines up with memory fairly well.


Took me back Highgate, met all of his best mates / So I guess all the rumors are true


Highgate is a broad suburb, and it is quite rich (“one of the most expensive London suburbs in which to live”). We ended up going to a park near Hampstead Heath called Waterlow Park, adjacent to Highgate Cemetery. Highgate Cemetery is most famously the burial place of comrade Karl himself. But for my purposes, it is most famous as the only Magnificent Seven cemetery that I’ve visited that charged an entry fee. Because I’m cheap, I, alas, haven’t gone inside.


I: We’re at Waterlow Park, which is right next to the Highgate Cemetery. I think we’re actually looking into the cemetery, I think the cemetery is behind that gate, or that fence over there.

G: It’s actually quite lovely here, lots of interesting trees. Like this one over here.

I: Honestly, I did not notice the trees being interesting. That’s a fair point. It is 12:19, so it wasn’t very far from the top of that hill.


Like at the Heath, Waterlow Park had a ton of people milling around. I noticed a lot of children and even school-aged teenagers, which confused me (it was a Thursday, after all).


I: I feel like we’re seeing a bunch of school-aged kids, like, shouldn’t they be in school right now?

G: Schools are closed.

I: But like, aren’t they online? Or is there some kind of break right now.

G: I’m not sure. Maybe they just don’t have that much schooling.

I: Uh. Educational standards going down the drain. Back in my day, they wouldn’t have allowed this!

G: Maybe it’s some sort of lunch break.

I: Fair enough.


We talked about the playground, which was, admittedly, very cool. (I’ve mentioned this before, but I am eventually planning on doing a blog post about British playgrounds. Fascinating stuff.)


I: So what are we seeing? A bunch of kids.

G: A bunch of kids. A playground. Another pretty cool playground, actually.

I: Honestly, it looks really dangerous. Like that kid looks like she’s going to fall and die. Like, look at her.

G: I mean, people fall off playgrounds. It’s all part of growing up.

I: Fair enough.

G: I fell off the monkey bars, broke my arm.

I: Oh wow. That’s why we should ban monkey bars.

G: Yeah, I was four or five. It didn’t stop me. I still loved monkey bars afterwards.

I: I thought you were saying you couldn’t do monkey bars anymore.

G: Well, anymore. Right now. ’Cause I’m now, unfortunately, very un-strong and much heavier than when I was seven. But thanks for reminding me.


We also noticed the ~English~ dress in front of us.


I: Anything else we’re seeing that’s interesting?

G: Pretty standard park.

I: Yeah. Screaming children. Dogs with . . . hoodies.

G: Hoods.

I: Did you see the one with, like, rain gear? That one was cute. Good stuff.

G: Everyone wearing navy blue. It’s very English.

I: I didn’t notice that. That’s a fair point. [My flatmate] was making a comment that was like, you can tell I’m an American because I’m wearing something that’s, like, light green.

G: It’s very Oregon.

I: Yeah, a little bit.


The park had a plot of land dedicated to gardening (the “Old Kitchen Gardens”), so we took a look. It was rather depressing. But perhaps to be expected given the British winter.





We made our way back from Highgate walking, mostly, along Holloway Road (G: It’s quite boring). I took a few pictures of things that caught my eye.




* * * * *

Day 2: Wednesday, February 24, 2021


The next Wednesday, we went to Hackney — one of the suburbs to the northeast. We were cycling that day, so I don’t have any “to” or “from” pictures like I did with Highgate and Hampstead Heath. Hackney, at least as Taylor Swift depicts it, is supposed to be “hip” and more interesting than ostentatious. I thought the assessment was apt.



Destination for Day 2


So please show me Hackney / Doesn't have to be Louis V up on Bond Street


The first place we stopped at was St. Augustine’s Tower. I think I landed on the place because I went to the Borough of Hackney Wikipedia page and scrolled until I saw a cool picture. (As you can tell, this tour was very Methodically Planned.) It’s a pretty cool tower though; the tower itself apparently dates to the sixteenth century, and it was built as part of a church that dates back further (at least to the thirteenth century). Being in Britain always reminds me of just how young America is.





Our main destination was Hackney Marshes — basically the only landmark I actually knew of in Hackney before Googling “Hackney.” We cycled there, and then recorded our voice memo.


For background, we were in the middle of reading week, which meant we were both doing essays all week and lacking in the normal cycle of school (i.e., seminars at certain times with readings to have prepared before). The result? I was definitely somewhat dazed.


I: Okay, so it is the 24th of February. It is a . . . is it a Wednesday or a Thursday?

G: It’s a Wednesday.

I: 1:15pm. We are walking on . . .

G: Hackney Marshes.

I: Hackney Marshes!


Hackney Marshes is a big park, and at least part of it is an actual marsh. But at least at first, we were essentially on a large field of manicured grass.


G: We can see lots of soccer goals.

I: Yes, but not soccer players, as far as I can tell.

G: Everyone seems to be [wind]. No sports until March the twenty-ninth.

[. . .]

I: There’s a dude with a lawnmower. That actually might be the first British lawnmower that I’ve ever seen.

G: I’m really shocked that they have someone pushing that, not some sort of driver on top.

I: Yeah. Full time job, I assume.

G: Never stop. Once you finish it, have to start again.




Once we got off the field and into the actual marshes, it was quite a lovely place — we saw some nice art. We also walked through a wonderful market. I didn’t catch the name, but one of the nice things about keeping a blog is that you remember to search for these kinds of things! It was Ridley Road Market. There was just a wonderful diversity of produce from all over the world. We saw bowls of five massive avocados (imagine an avocado twice the size of a typical California avocado) for one pound each.




* * * * *

Day 3: Friday, March 5, 2021


By the third day, we finally finished the tour. We (my cycling buddy and I) cycled down to Brixton first, and then went up through the Soho-West End area, as well as Camden. That took the entire morning, and I barely made it in time for a 1pm walk I had scheduled with a Marshall friend (E).



Destinations for Day 3


You know I love a London boy, I enjoy nights in Brixton


Brixton is the only place on this tour that’s south of the Thames. As I understand it, Brixton is a very diverse and culturally rich part of London; apparently it’s where a lot of young people love to go out. (Note that Taylor Swift spends nights in Brixton.) It’s also, I think, gentrifying, although I didn’t see too much of that. Mostly, I saw a really cool market (that was largely closed, unfortunately).


I: Okay, so we’re at Brixton . . . right outside of Brixton Market? Was that our conclusion?

G: We’ve just walked past Brixton Market.

I: Alright.

G: Near Pop Brixton.

I: It is the Fifth of March. That’s terrifying.

G: I know.

I: Yeah. In the morning, 10:20. It is very . . . very Britain weather.

G: It’s overcast. Slightly colder than we were expecting, but it’s nice.

I: Yeah.

G: We’ve walked through Brixton. Markets are open.

I: Kind of.

G: A little bit sad. All the cafes are closed.


The markets that were open had a decent number of people milling around, so we stopped to record in a bit of a side street that caught my eye. It had some nice art, as well as (I would learn) a craft beer chain.


I: So we’re standing in Beehive Place, a little alleyway with lots of art!

G: It’s an art installation along the wall.

I: And a … is that a pub looking place?

G: This is a chain. Craft beer chain.

I: Oh okay. Is that a thing? I thought craft beer was supposed to be independent?

G: Everything is a chain in London.

I: I think Pablo [our competition law professor] was saying the same thing.

G: He was. It’s true though.

I: He gave you that rant in your class, too?

G: Yes. And I completely agree with him. I rant about it all the time. Everything.

I: Have you lived here long enough to realize that?

G: I’ve been to London many, many times. And I used to work in Mayfair [where lots of hedge funds are located].

I: Oh, that’s right, you worked in Mayfair.

G: And everything around Mayfair is Pret a Manger, It (they’re owned by the same company) . . .

I: Wait really? Actually, I don’t even know what It is.

G: It. Itu? Itsu. It’s like a chain Japanese store.

I: Okay.

G: And then there's Eat. And then there’s another one. Basically the same. And that’s all they have there. And they all have the same food all the time because they never change their menu.

I: And this is why you don’t enter into finance. Every place you go to will look the exact same, across the world.

G: Exactly. And they’re all super busy, because no one supports anything that’s not a chain.

I: That’s pretty depressing.

G: It is depressing.

I: But I do think that’s kind of what you’d expect of “global elites.” You’d go to places that you’re used to. You go to the McDonalds and the Wendy’s of the world.

G: I don’t think global elites go to the McDonalds and the Wendy’s of the world, actually.

I: They go to the Prets of the world. The Starbucks.

G: I think it’s the convenience. It’s a London thing. It’s the same in Angel and Islington.

I: Yeah, the global elites live there.

G: Global elites.

I: Yeah, there we go.

G: Well . . .





The next step was to cycle up to the Soho-West End area. This is the really expensive area of London, and it’s also near the center of British government — Parliament, Number 10 Downing Street (where the Prime Minister lives), the Supreme Court of the UK (I have to say, SCOTUK doesn’t have the same ring as SCOTUS), and so on. We were cycling, and we passed the Palace of Westminster, Trafalgar Square, Piccadilly Circus, and a lot of the other iconic London areas. Incidentally, I walked through this area a few weeks earlier (on February 20), so I’m going to supplement some of my pictures from Day 3 of our tour with those older pictures.





The first stop on the tour was Bond Street, the street of luxury retail outlets.


Doesn't have to be Louis V up on Bond Street / Just wanna be with you


We were both, I think, taken a bit back by just how grand everything looked on Bond Street.


I: It is 11 o’clock, we are now outside the Louis V on Bond Street.

G: Yes. It’s pretty flashy.

I: It’s quite bougie.

G: It’s very bougie. It’s a nice, very clean limestone path here.


The Louis Vuitton had a lot of cute art installations in the windows, though. Here’s us talking about them (and pictures of them below).


I: What do you think of this cat, inside — is that cheese?

G: Oh I didn’t really see . . . it’s really cute. It’s like a bed; it’s cuddling the cheese.

I: Is this supposed to make me want to buy fashion though?

G: I think it’s a mouse. I assume.

I: It’s a mouse?

G: Well, it’s cuddling the cheese. And it’s the size of the bread.

I: Okay, okay, that does make sense. Although it looks like a cat, doesn’t it?

G: Yeah, it’s not a great mouse.

I: It is cute. But I don’t get what the point is. Maybe it’s just to catch your eye. I guess there are other animal things. Is that a Louis V thing generally?

G: It’s like a . . . they’re doing a . . . Here’s another one.

I: So it’s a snail on a banana. This is a cat right?

G: Looks like a cat to me.

I: Cat with a lightbulb. And then we have, uh, a bird with a hat, call it a Texan bird.

G: It’s a fish!

I: And then a . . . that thing.

G: Oh, yeah.

I: And then a fish with a tongue.

G: It’s a farmer bird. And it’s a snake. It’s eating a worm. And then you have . . .

I: I was about to make a very dumb comment about a fish eating worms.

G: They do eat worms.





The next stop was to the West End. We stopped at Shaftesbury Avenue (we thought it was Picadilly — Piccadilly turned into Shaftesbury a few blocks behind us).


And now I love high tea, stories from Uni, and the West End / You can find me in the pub, we are watching rugby with his school friends


The area we stopped at was in a cluster of the famous West End theaters — kind of like, I take it, the London Broadway. (Or maybe Broadway is the American West End.)


I: Okay, so we’re at Piccadilly — the West End. We’re on the road with all the theaters.

G: Yes. And obviously closed. But we’re missing out on watching Les Mis. Something called Six.

I: Something called ATM.

G: ATM. You can see the Apollo.

I: There’s a rainforest cafe! That’s kind of cool. It’s a themed . . . I feel like this is like a . . .

G: A very touristic area?

I: I was going to say, I feel like it’s a very American thing.

G: Yes. It’s for the American tourists.

I: Take your kids there at the jungle-themed dinner or something.





The last of the three areas clustered here was Soho.


You know I love a London boy, I enjoy walking Soho / Drinking in the afternoon


Like the West End, Soho is a neighborhood/area, not a discrete place, so to speak, so we ended up stopping at one of my friend’s favorite restaurants. There was a lot of roadwork happening in the area. It was rather funny. (Just imagine that behind this conversation, there’s a jackhammer in the background — the entire time. It felt apt.)


I: Okay wait so tell me about Barrafina [the restaurant].

G: Okay, so it’s like, Spanish tapas, which are like now, you know, now it’s very common. But it was one of the first.

I: Is that really common?

G: Yeah. Yes it is. [Gives me exasperated look.] Yes, it was one of the first, it was very cool. It’s pretty good — you usually have to line up, and then you can only sit around the bar.

I: Okay.

G: But it’s good.

I: Fair enough. Fair enough. So what street are we on?

G: We’re on Dean Street.

I: Dean Street, okay. And there’s a WB thing right there, that’s kind of cool.

G: Yes. And there’s also along Dean Street, I think, quite a lot of gay bars and lesbian, like, clubs. Big gay night scene.

I: I see. Alas, not hopping right now, I assume.

G: Yes, not as wild as it could be. If you came down here at 3am in a year’s time, it’ll be —

I: It’d be quite hopping.

G: It’d be quite different.

I: And I assume there wouldn’t be construction here normally.





The final place that we cycled to was Camden Market.


I enjoy walking Camden Market in the afternoon / He likes my American smile, like a child when our eyes meet / Darling, I fancy you


Camden Market had a lot of hole-in-the-wall-type restaurants. In other words, everything looked (and smelled) amazing. Also, I think I was pretty hungry at that point. So we spend a decent amount of time chatting about the food options we’re seeing. Also, to give some background for our conversation: Wetherspoons is the most common chain pub in the UK (apparently there’s almost 900 venues!), and it’s reputation is very cheap, not very good food and beer. I haven’t actually been to one yet, unfortunately.


I: So we’re at Camden Market. It is 11:47, so we’re making really good time actually.

G: Yeah, we’re doing really well!

I: Okay so things that are surprising to us.

G: We’ve got Camden Town Brew, which is, like, everywhere, super famous.

I: Wait, is it also one of those chain . . .

G: Well, not a chain. But they were probably one of the first craft beers. So now they’re like mass marketed. So Camden is on every single tap.

I: I see. So if I were to go to a random Wetherspoons, I’d get it?

G: Maybe not a Wetherspoons. But if you went to a random pub, you’d probably get it. Don’t go to Wetherspoons.

I: Really? I figured when things open up the first place I’d go is Wetherspoons.

G: Yeah, I figured that’s probably — that’s probably your vibe.

I: I feel like I’m being called cheap. Which is fair.

G: Yep. So there’s a couple stores open. There’s a “healthy Indian cooking,” some Dutch pancakes, some halloumi fries.

I: “Naan of the bad stuff.” That’s pretty good.





A delightful British thing I learned about that day: Cockney rhyming slang.


I: “Up the apple and pears.” Is that a British way of saying up the stairs?

G: I think so, it must be some Cockney rhyming slang.

I: Is that actually a thing?

G: Cockney rhyming slang, yeah.


We cycled back, stopping at my friend’s favorite bakery (she wanted a baguette).





I had planned a walk with a friend for 1pm that day. We met at St. George’s Garden (right around King’s Cross and the British Museum), and then walked to the last destination on the list — Shoreditch.


St. George's and Shoreditch

St. George’s Garden was gorgeous.





You know I love a London boy, I enjoy nights in Brixton / Shoreditch in the afternoon


Just like the majority of places on the list, Shoreditch is a district rather than a specific place to visit. Wikipedia suggests it’s known for its pubs, bars, and nightclubs, and my original Shoreditch destination was a historic pub (The Stag’s Head, Hoxton). But when we set off from St. George’s Garden, we basically decided to just wander in the general direction of Shoreditch and just to see whatever we could find. I’m much happier with what we found compared to going to a closed pub.


I: It is around 2 o’clock on the fifth of March. [. . .] We’re at Shoreditch, we kind of wandered here, we don’t really know what part of Shoreditch we’re at. But there’s a lot of really cool art, so we decided to stop here. What are you seeing? What stands out to you?

E: I’m just seeing so many different levels of people producing street art. I mean, you can see, on every surface, people — even on the stairs — people trying to create some sort of artistic production, even to the point where they’re erasing over each other. There’s just an immense amount of color. It’s almost difficult to describe because so much of it is written over each other.

I: Yeah, yeah. That’s a good point. I feel like that’s like a common thing in graffiti, right?

E: Right.

I: There’s like all sorts of norms about when you’re supposed to draw over someone else’s?

E: Right! I would almost wonder if the people who did the most recent things — the things that are on top — saw and continued to see the things that were there before and after a while, they almost become part of the wall rather than some new form of expression, in some way.

I: Yeah! It’s quite cool.


The area was just immensely colorful, and there were incredible, huge murals on the walls. Here are pictures from where we stopped.





We continued to wander the area, and I took pictures of random stuff that caught my eye. We eventually got back to our places by around 3:30pm.





* * * * *

That, in sum, was the three-week, London Boy (COVID-style) tour. It’d be fun to try doing it again once everything is opened up and everyone is vaccinated. Takeaways from the tour:


* London buses are so cool.

* I need to do grocery shopping at street markets, especially at Ridley Road.

* Shoreditch is an artistic treasure. There’s a bunch of street art throughout London, but I was just blown away by what I saw at Shoreditch (you can probably tell just from the number of pictures I took).

* I want to try the food at both Brixton and Camden Market.

* I would concur with the sentiment that if you want to have fun in London, it “[d]oesn't have to be Louis V up on Bond Street.”


* * * * *

I have three weeks’ worth of Rose/Bud/Thorn/Gratitudes to get through, so I’ll separate them chronologically.


February 14–20

Rose: I had a nice Zoom dinner with a friend (ah, the wonders of pandemic social life), and I had a meeting with my dissertation supervisor to get more insights about how to approach the project. Both were really fun and helpful. Also, a Pomona friend and I popped into the Physics Department’s weekly social hour, which was really nice — always lovely to see old friends again. Lastly, I had a meeting with my competition law professor from last term because I’m helping her with a project — she’s a delightful person, so it was a fun chat.


Bud: I’m volunteering with something called the “Marshall Connect” program — basically, it matches Marshalls with people in the UK Government’s “Fast Stream” program, which is a government honors program that brings recent graduates into the civil service. It’s been a really nice program, in the sense that I’ve really enjoyed chatting with my Fast Streamer buddy every other week. My volunteering role is with the “Evaluation” team, so we’re trying to measure how well the Marshall Connect program is doing. We had our first real substantive preparation meeting this week because the first major event that the program was putting on this year happened the week after (i.e., on February 25).


Thorn: I think I had overloaded myself this week. For example, I remember feeling very behind on my readings because I was simultaneously also trying to get in a bunch of prep work for my dissertation meeting (which was immediately after my last class, so all my preparation work was stacked and needed to be ready by Tuesday and Wednesday). I also scheduled five separate calls on Saturday, so I remember feeling just kind of tired by the end of it, even though I had a lot of fun talking with everyone


Gratitude: I’m grateful that the Physics Department (and, like the week before, the Politics Department) is continuing to do events, and that they’re all open to alumni. It’s really, really nice to know that I can always connect back with old friends and colleagues (even if I always feel a bit like an old codger jumping into a Zoom call with mostly first-year students I haven’t met before).


February 21–27

Rose: Three this week.


First, I got to call a few friends I hadn’t talked with in months (one who had graduated a semester before me, and one who was in the freshman seminar that I was a writing partner for), which was really nice.


Second, though it was reading week, my capital markets regulation professor decided to hold an informal class meeting just to chat and get to know each other. Only one other student showed up, but it was still a fun chat between the three of us. I learned a bit about their views on Brexit, which was helpful (finally getting that cultural exchange that I’m here for!).


Third, I’d read Imagined Communities a while ago (if you remember, I had a very confused blog post about the book), and one of the professors at LSE I know, who runs our BLM reading group, studied under Benedict Anderson, the book’s author. So a few months ago, I had emailed him asking to have a chat about Imagined Communities, and we finally made it happen this week. It was a nice conversation; I was mostly confused and didn’t ask very good questions, but I definitely came away feeling like I had learned a lot.


Bud: This was the first week I was really doing my competition law “research” position (perhaps “project assistant” is a better term, because I’m not doing substantive research). It was tiring and a bit boring, as most such work is, but I still feel like I’m learning from it, and that’s good and encouraging and exciting.


Thorn: Because it was reading week, we were doing formative assessments — basically essays that aren’t graded (since for most classes, you only get one graded assignment, which constitutes your course-wide grade). One formative, for capital markets, was honestly kind of fun, and I was able to do it close to the suggested time limit (they said to take ~1–1.5 hours, and I think I ended up taking around 1.75 hours, but it sounded like the rest of the class took around 3 hours, based on my professor’s informal straw poll in class). But my formative assignment for competition law was devastating — it took me like three days to do. I have no idea how I’m going to do two essays like that in a 3 hour chunk (the technical time window is 24 hours, but they want you to use only 3 hours, like it would be in a real in-person exam).


Gratitude: I’m thankful for the capital markets professor and the BLM reading group professor for taking time out of their reading week to talk about random stuff. I saw a tweet the other day that, in academia, time is the “most valuable currency,” and I’ve always gotten that sense, too. Most of these folks are really busy (the capital markets professor is the head of the LSE law department!), and so it’s really nice that they take chunks of their time just to chat and offer their insights.


February 28–March 6

Rose: I think Friday — making it from Brixton, through Soho, to Camden, and then to Shoreditch — was a really nice day. And probably a healthy day! I got something like 26,000 steps that day, plus, according to my friend’s Strava app, we cycled 33.4 km (20 miles). Saturday, I had some really nice calls — one with old high school friends (it was absolutely lovely to see everyone again and hear how they’re doing, although they’re all such adults compared to me — talking about babies and searching for apartments!), as well as a call with a new Marshall friend and a walk with an LSE friend.


Bud: One of my old Pomona politics professors asked me to write a piece for the Monkey Cage (a blog for the Washington Post) about the Supreme Court’s Voting Rights Act case. I’m not sure if it’ll end up getting published (it’s pushed up to the managing editor level right now), but it’ll be cool if it does! I’m a bit nervous, though — it’s always scary to think that much smarter and experienced people could read this and say it’s very dumb.


Thorn: I got a very bad grade for a summative assignment (75% of the class grade!). The feedback was that the paper would’ve been a distinction (the “A” equivalent) but the professors didn’t think I answered the prompt, so they gave me a bad grade. I’m going to try to make a learning experience out of it and to talk to one of the professors about how to avoid the problem moving forward. But it’s mostly sad that I felt like I worked really hard in a class, spent something like two weeks researching and writing this paper, and then ended the term on such a low note.


Gratitude: I’m grateful for my friends for doing the London Boy tour with me. It had the propensity to feel rather gimmicky, to be honest, but I found it really fun — and hope you all enjoyed reading about it, too (for the few of you who made it this far!).


Future topics:

* Other tours of London? I’ll have to figure out what other themes make sense.

* Progressive-Era reforms — specifically in terms of home rule and elections (e.g., the secret ballot). I think I had always thought of these reforms as quite positive (“good governance,” support for “experts,” etc.). And, indeed, I think a lot of regulatory studies date to the Progressive Era — after all, one of the chief progressives, Woodrow Wilson, was also one of the founders of modern American political science and public administration. But I’m starting to feel many of those reforms were more questionable than I used to think.

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  • Writer's pictureIsaac Cui

I remember learning in elementary school about the Greek myth of Narcissus — the man who was famed for his beauty and who fell in love with his own reflection. (Actually, I should come clean that I probably learned about Narcissus because he was in the Percy Jackson books, not because I was some Greek mythology buff.) As I remember it, Narcissus sees himself in a pool of water, becomes entranced by his own visage, and then ends up drowning. Looking at Wikipedia suggests there are many variants of the story, but the central idea of a man who was deeply self-focused (indeed, narcissistic) stays constant across the different retellings.


I’ve been thinking about dissertation topics and design, and Narcissus’s story popped into my head as I was reflecting about what I’m hypothesizing. To put it briefly, I want to take Daniel Carpenter’s idea that reputation determines regulatory power and apply it to DOJ’s Voting Section, the division that enforces all federal voting rights laws. The essence of Carpenter’s argument is that regulatory agencies have different audiences, and the agency’s reputation among those audiences is important for its ability to exert power. During budget hearings, the agency wants to demonstrate to Congress that it does its job effectively, that it is filled with apolitical experts, and that its mission is worthwhile. When the President seeks to advance some policy goal, the agency likely wants to further the President’s agenda (or at least, to be able to point to material actions it is taking to do so) so as to avoid getting on the bad side of the President.


Of course, the agency will capitulate to these demands based at least in part on how credible a threat each of these institutions poses. A strong President, in the Neustadtian sense, can credibly signal to his or her adversaries that they should not cross the President, or they will suffer political costs: “When one man shares authority with another, but does not gain or lose his job upon the other’s whim, his willingness to act upon the urging of the other turns on whether he conceives the action right for him. The essence of a President’s persuasive task is to convince such men that what the White House wants of them is what they ought to do for their sake and on their authority.” (For an insightful thread on Neustadt’s theory as applied to Trump, see here.) Similarly, during a congressional hearing, the agency may not be receptive to demands for changed action unless Congress seems like it could actually pass a law to alter the agency’s regulatory authority or to cut its budget. Take, for example, how in the immediate aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis, Congress and President Obama were threatening to create a new regulatory agency that would cut authority from the Federal Reserve. Due to the credible threat of legislative change, Carpenter documents how the Federal Reserve began stepping up its enforcement practices — basically (so the theory goes) to demonstrate to Congress and the President that legislative change wouldn’t be necessary.


Agencies, from a constitutional perspective, are subservient to the elected branches of government — Congress and the President are the ultimate overseers. One way of thinking about the reputation theory, then, is that maintaining a powerful reputation acts as a shield against political interference with the agency’s turf. We might expect that really popular agencies — say, the CDC, USPS, or the Census Bureau — are more immune from political interference. Indeed, if we think about the last year, major news stories involved each of these agencies: the coronavirus pandemic, mail-in voting, attempts at putting a citizenship question on the Census. In each example, political interference was costly for the President — Congress quickly responded with oversight and the media shined a spotlight on alleged interference. And arguably, much of the attempted interference failed. Bureaucrats in the Census Bureau pushed back on the political appointees, and the administrative workaround for gathering citizenship data failed. USPS didn’t have major failures in ensuring ballots got to where they needed to. (From a reputational perspective, it’s noteworthy that the USPS Board of Governors literally published an op-ed in USA Today defending the agency’s performance.) CDC perhaps is another story, in the sense that interference was quite effective, but, on the other hand, it’s pretty discrediting to an Administration and its political appointees to have headlines in the New York Times such as: “CDC Testing Guidance Was Published Against Scientists’ Objections.” Reputational analysis helps us understand intra-bureaucratic behavior, such as how line bureaucrats who might care more about establishing a reputation among expert communities (say, scientists) than among political appointees will end up leaking details to point the finger up the food chain for perceived policy failures.


Reputation theory thus also suggests agencies will be responsive to external audiences in certain ways. Bureaucrats at the CDC will care about their credibility in front of scientific audiences; lawyers at DOJ will care about how esteemed legal academics or Big Law practitioners in DC perceive their conduct; securities regulators at the SEC will care about how financiers view their regulations. From an instrumental perspective, building reputational capital enables agencies to get support from important interest groups when they take controversial steps or if they get in the media spotlight. But from a more identity-based perspective, many of these bureaucrats might feel a normative pull toward certain ways of behavior. It is right, they might think, for a lawyer to follow what they believe the law requires rather than what their politically appointed boss tells them to do. It is right, they might say, to listen to scientific consensus and to privilege certain trusted scientific sources over others, even if it points in a politically unfeasible direction.


Personally, I find reputation theory to be extremely persuasive (if a bit difficult to operationalize — how do you measure “reputation”?). I’ve been thinking about why I find reputation theory so persuasive. There are roughly two other broad camps for thinking about regulatory agency behavior: “public interest theory,” which essentially says that agencies do what they do because they think it benefits the public; and “capture theory,” which posits that agencies, politicians, and regulated interests are all self-interested rent-seekers who simply want to extract money (or other kinds of resources) through regulation. (A third theory, “ideational theory,” suggests that ideas and ideology are important factors, but I think ideational theory can’t really explain when action happens — it’s much more relevant for thinking about the form of policy.)


For me, the public interest theory is not well defined (and, indeed, isn’t really a theory — no one calls themselves as “public interest theorist of regulation”). And though it offers a reason for regulation — like the ideational explanation — it doesn’t necessarily help us understand when regulation actually happens. Moreover, though I think regulatory actors are often driven by a pursuit of the public interest, the “public” they are responsive to is going to be shaped by their regulatory mission: EPA staffers probably care much more about “environmental publics” (think environmental advocacy groups or imagined future generations) than about, say, oil lobbyist publics. On the flip side, the Chicago School “capture theory,” as I’ve discussed previously, is a pretty bleak view of regulators, politicians, and regulated interests — it assumes that all actors essentially care only about their own self-interest, and their goal is profit (or at least, “utility”) maximization. These factors are important, but I don’t think they can explain everything. There is an element of ideological interest and so-called “public value” held by bureaucrats: they get into their line of duty not just due to job security or the “perks” of a government job, but because they care about what they do. I think that’s true of teachers, as I’ve written before. I also think that’s true of many bureaucrats in more cause-oriented agencies (say, DOJ’s Civil Rights Division).


In essence, though, a lot of these arguments about why I think reputation theory is a better explanation than public interest or capture theory boil down to: it just seems more correct. I could go through and find some empirical evidence to justify my arguments — I could point to case studies where capture theory or public interest theory fail, and the opposite for reputation theory. But, as Carpenter writes, “To call something a ‘case study’ assumes the goal of extracting universal knowledge about a population from a singular entity.” Just phrasing the endeavor clearly reveals how problem-filled the endeavor is.


Much empirical social science, I’m coming to believe, hinges on the question of representation. What, in other words, is a “representative” sample or case? And how do you know what’s “representative”?


For me, when I think about “government bureaucracy,” I imagine the Voting Section at DOJ. I imagine highly trained lawyers, statisticians, and support staff who believe deeply in their agency’s mission. I imagine people who move between cause-oriented NGOs (the ACLUs, NAACP-LDFs, and MALDEFs of the world) and the government. And so I don’t think it’s surprising that I imagine that the agency is driven by reputational demands from these external actors who ostensibly maintain moral purity and call upon the governmental agency to act in certain cause-oriented ways despite, say, top-down pressure from a presidential administration that might be skeptical of its actions.


Beyond representative samples, I also think the causal logic naturally coheres with how I see the world. A professor once said to me that I care too much about how others see me. I think she was probably right. I think I often feel “reputational pulls,” in the sense that I feel a need to engage with those who I think of as morally or intellectually pure — and that I feel a need to be up to snuff with them. (In hindsight, I think this was probably why getting raked across the coals with our human rights paper last year was so affecting — it was a clear demonstration that I wasn’t, in fact, up to snuff in comparison to an audience that I admired.)


As I’ve been thinking about designing my dissertation, Narcissus feels relevant because I think many of my choices — the topic, the theoretical approach — feel like they’re just reflections of how I see the world. The nice thing about positivist science, of course, is that it’s still anchored to some reality. I’m going to have to find the historical records, the other scholarly accounts, and the interviewees who can confirm or push back on my theory. (Unlike this blog, where I can just say what I want — ha!) The question is whether I can do so in a way that approaches objectivity — or whether I’ll basically be writing to confirm my own bias.


In one of my introductory political science classes, two-and-a-half years ago, my professor summed up a paper’s argument with a neat arrow: “X -> Y.” I raised my hand and said, essentially, that I thought there were times when Y could cause X. She looked quizzically at me and then drew a reverse arrow. At the time, I thought my comment was smart — I had poked a hole in the theory! In hindsight, I actually think that comment suggested a misunderstanding of social science. The world is really complicated, and it’s probably always possible to draw arrows in many different directions. What makes social science interesting is when you can demonstrate a simple relationship that explains much of a phenomenon.


In one of my statistics classes, my professor emphasized the importance of simple models. If you have n data points, then as your statistical model approaches n independent predictor variables, your model will get “better” in the sense that it’ll fit the data closer. But you don’t want to predict your data perfectly. Otherwise, in his words, you’d be playing “connect the dots.” Data are imperfect and noisy in the real world. The tricky work of statistics is to figure out how to throw away the noise in favor of the signal. And usually that means keeping your model simple — that way, even if it fits individual samples poorly, on the whole, it won’t be biased when tested against multiple samples.


My professor’s “X -> Y” causal theory was meant to be easy because we wanted to know how much that theory could predict. In higher education, we love to talk about “complicating” certain ways of thinking. But in this example, I actually think complicating the model paradoxically decreases its relevance. If we think back to the public interest, capture, and reputation theory debates, we can think about what “complicating” means. We can “complicate” the notion of public interest, and posit that the theory is actually that an agency is responsive to many different publics’ interests — say, Congress, the President, courts, technical publics, broader public opinion, and so on. At that point, isn’t a “public interest” theory just the reputational model, except “interest” seems worse defined than “reputation”? What if we “complicate” the notion of regulatory “rent-seeking” behavior so that we include not only monetary costs, but also factors that clearly play a role in self-interest: esteem, sense of identity/self, a feeling of being a do-gooder, praise from audiences, etc.? Doesn’t the capture model basically also become the reputation theory, except we’re trying to psychoanalyze people’s “self-interest” rather than focusing on their reputation? Public interest theory starts from the proposition that regulation is primarily meant to advance “the public interest,” but it’s clear we can stretch that notion to become anything. Similarly so with capture theory — it starts from the idea that everyone is “self-interested,” but if we think about all the kinds of “self-interest,” it becomes quite the elastic theory.


Political scientists love 2x2 charts — we have two different variables that each have two categories, and so we have four different possible configurations. Those four categories are supposed to predict some behavior. It’s always really coarse, almost silly business. But I think they choose these configurations because they’re constraining — and, indeed, might make social science more reliable (in the sense of not being mere reflections of the social scientist’s perspective). They focus attention on specific, relatively consistently measurable attributes, and they seek to show that those alone can lead to some outcomes. Deliberate simplicity, I think, separates the political scientist from the historian, who seeks to revel in the full complexity of any era. There’s value to both, I think. But I don’t think I really understood the value of the political scientist’s endeavor until quite recently.


* * * * *

Rose: I had a call with a friend while walking along the Thames. It was really cold, but it was nice. Also, I had many calls this week, which are always a pleasure.



I’m also realizing that I really love reading for my dissertation — it’s fascinating stuff. I think I actually really like the process of academic research. But, alas, the purpose (actually trying to say stuff) isn’t nearly as fun.


History of Ideas Season 2 has started, and, predictably, I’m loving these talks. The latest episode was about Jeremy Bentham, and he talks about this idea of utilitarianism as a kind of “acid” — it cuts away the crap, so that you focus on what’s the real, underlying justification for an action. That idea sounds really simple, but I found it profound — and, as you can probably tell, it undergirds this entire post.


Bud: It’s pretty exciting that Taylor Swift’s first re-record album is coming out soon! I thought her version of “Love Story” was pretty similar to her old version, though, so I’m curious how much the new Fearless will sound different from the old.


Thorn: I feel like I’ve been self-owning a lot recently; I’ve spent a decent amount of this week feeling dumb and sheepish. But (as I was getting at earlier), it’s nice to have things that pull you out of your own mind — whether that’s reading interesting books, listening to podcasts, going for walks, or watching TV.


Future topics:

* LSE’s history — a professor yesterday at my reading group made a comment about how LSE is run like a business school, and how LSE’s orientation toward social science is “utilitarian,” in the sense that it emphasizes applicability rather than knowledge for its own sake. I’ve felt this a little bit and want to explore it a bit more.

* LASA’s history — this is my high school, a magnet school in Austin, Texas. I’ve been interested in education politics and policy for a while, but listening to Nice White Parents (a great podcast by the way) made me feel like I should try to dive down and think a bit more about my own experiences with public education.

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